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2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Deemed "Above Normal"

October 16, 2016

"Above normal," that's how NOAA scientists described the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which ended on November 30, 2016, in a recent press release about the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Image of Hurricane Nicole
This color-enhanced infrared image, captured by the VIIRS instrument aboard the NOAA/NASA Suomi NPP satellite shows Hurricane Nicole on October 12, 2016.

NOAA's initial hurricane season outlook (released at the end of May), predicted a 45-percent chance of a near-normal season, with a 70-percent likelihood of 10 to 16 named storms, including the possibility of 4 to 8 hurricanes and 1 to 4 major hurricanes. Then, three months later, NOAA released an update to the initial outlook that called for a "higher likelihood of a near-normal or above-normal season.” 2016, the forecasters said, is expected to be “the most active since 2012." They were right.